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What are the chances of getting your money back after a crypto scam?

Let me answer the question you actually typed into the search bar at 2 a.m., without the padding most pages wrap around it. Can you get crypto back after a scam? Sometimes. Usually not. The honest range is what this post is about, because knowing your real odds is how you decide whether to chase this at all.

Start with the uncomfortable baseline

Across the board, the recovery rate for crypto sent to a scammer is low. The FBI’s 2025 Internet Crime Report put crypto-related fraud losses north of $11 billion, and the bureau’s own proactive program, Operation Level Up, was measured mostly by the losses it stopped before they happened, not by funds it clawed back afterward. Once crypto leaves your wallet and moves through a few hops, there is no central operator who can press undo.

Low isn’t zero, though. Your real odds ride on a handful of specific factors, and they are worth knowing one at a time.

The three things your odds actually hinge on

Speed is the first factor and the largest. If the money is only hours old and still sitting at a regulated exchange like Coinbase or Binance, a fast report and prompt law enforcement contact can occasionally get an account frozen before the funds are cashed out. A few days later, the trail runs colder.

Size is the second, and it can feel unfair. Tracing takes real hours, so a few hundred dollars rarely justifies a paid investigation, while a five- or six-figure loss often does. The third is whether the scammer ever cashed out through a business that answers subpoenas. Crypto that vanishes into a privacy mixer is a very different situation from crypto resting in an exchange wallet with a real name attached. Our piece on tracing a scammer’s crypto wallet walks through what the blockchain trail can and cannot show.

Where tracing stops and wishful thinking starts

Here is the line I want you to hold onto, because the second scam lives right on top of it. Tracing follows the public blockchain and can often show where your funds went, sometimes to a named exchange account. That is real, and honest investigators do it every day. Recovery — the actual dollars back in your hand — depends on a court order, a frozen account, or a cooperating platform, and no honest person promises it in advance. So when an account slides into your DMs guaranteeing it will recover your crypto for an upfront fee, that is the follow-on con aimed at the same wound, and we broke it down in how to tell a real crypto recovery service from another scam.

So is chasing it worth your time?

For a smaller loss, the realistic path costs nothing. Report it, then protect yourself from the follow-up scams. File with IC3.gov and ReportFraud.ftc.gov, tell your bank if a card or transfer funded the purchase, and save every wallet address, transaction hash, and screenshot before the platform vanishes. Our evidence guide covers what to grab and how.

For a larger loss, a professional trace can earn its keep — not because it guarantees the money comes home, but because a clear, documented trail is what a lawyer, a bank, or law enforcement needs before any of them can move at all. There is also a reason federal agencies pass on many smaller crypto cases, which we covered in why the FBI may not investigate your crypto scam.

If you want to know whether your case is even traceable before you spend anything, that is a conversation worth having. Our Investigation Help page covers the smaller cases we sometimes take on directly. For five and six figure losses that may end up in court, we work alongside Rexxfield for court-grade attribution. Either way the goal is the same: know your real odds, steer clear of the people selling false ones, and put your energy where it can actually do something.

— Lisa, GCCI